Landrieu Leads Nagin by 10 Points, Tulane Poll Says

May 16, 2006

Michael Strecker
Phone: (504) 865-5210

Two scholars in Tulane University's Department of Political Science released new survey results today indicating a 10 point lead for Lt. Governor Mitch Landrieu over Mayor Ray Nagin among likely voters going into Saturday's election. Brian Brox, assistant professor of Political Science, and J. Celeste Lay, assistant professor of Political Science, conducted the telephone survey of New Orleans residents from May 13-15.

Among the survey's other findings: Lt. Governor Mitch Landrieu received the support of 48 percent of respondents while Mayor Ray Nagin had the support of 38 percent. Fourteen percent of voters reported being undecided. When the racial background of the respondent is considered, 53.2 percent of African American respondents chose Ray Nagin while 28.7 percent selected Mitch Landrieu.

Among whites, Landrieu led with 68.1 percent of respondents with Nagin receiving 22.3 percent. Most respondents (63 percent) indicated that they based their vote on the candidates' policies. Among these respondents, Landrieu received the support of 53.5 percent while Nagin won the backing of 46.5 percent.

A quarter of the voters indicated that they would base their vote on the candidates' leadership abilities rather than on their policies; these individuals preferred Landrieu over Nagin by a margin of 65.7 percent to 34.3 percent. The survey had 434 respondents and a margin of error of 4.7 percent. The poll was weighted on the basis of race to reflect 48 percent African-American, 48 percent white, and 4 percent other racial background.

Those seeking additional information about the survey can contact Celeste Lay at or Brian Brox at

Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118 504-865-5000