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Tulane University Releases Results Poll on New Orleans Mayoral Election

April 19, 2006

Mike Strecker
Phone: 504-865-5210

mstreck@tulane.edu

New Orleans - Two scholars in Tulane University's Department of Political Science today released new survey results indicating a tight race for mayor of New Orleans. Brian Brox, assistant professor of Political Science, and Celeste Lay, assistant professor of Political Science, conducted the telephone survey of New Orleans residents from April 15-17.

Among the findings:

-Mitch Landrieu leads the race with 25.9 percent of respondents saying they would vote for him if the election were held today. Ray Nagin came in second with 21.4 percent and Ron Forman was third with 17.9 percent. Interestingly, over 17 percent of voters reported being undecided at this time.

-17.3 percent of respondents indicated a preference for some candidate other than the top three candidates. -When the racial background of the respondent is considered, 43.3 percent of African American respondents chose Ray Nagin with another 33.3 percent selecting Mitch Landrieu.

Among whites, Ron Forman leads with 39.3 percent, followed by Mitch Landrieu with 28.5 percent and Rob Couhig with 21.6 percent. Ray Nagin received the support of only 5.1 percent of white respondents. The survey had 571 respondents. The survey's margin of error is +/ - 4.1 percent. Cases were weighted on the basis of race to reflect 48 percent African-American, 48 percent white, and 4 percent other racial background.

Those seeking additional information about the survey can contact Celeste Lay at jlay@tulane.edu or Brian Brox at bbrox@tulane.edu

Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118 504-865-5000 website@tulane.edu